January 17, 2019
Buying the dip – the coveted strategy (almost) all investors like to employ.
January 10, 2019
Rising geopolitical tensions with Iran have led to some fears over potential oil supply shocks out of the Middle East.
January 03, 2019
Equity markets ended the year on a high note, with the seasonal Santa Claus rally pushing the S&P 500 to a new all-time high.
December 27, 2019
After two months of breathless anticipation, investors received an early holiday present on December 13th when the U.S. and China signaled agreement on a “Phase One” trade deal.
December 20, 2019
Markets have been on a tear in recent months, with the S&P 500 led higher by a combination of cyclical and value-oriented sectors.
December 13, 2019
Our expectations for trade tensions next year are a bit nuanced: while we do not expect the heat to be turned up further, the stove is not completely turned off, leaving the water simmering.
December 06, 2019
In November 2018, the U.S. 10-year reached a recent high of 3.26%. As trade tensions weighed on global growth prospects and the U.S. Federal Reserve cut rates, U.S. yields fell sharply in 2019. Over the last 12-months, the U.S. 10-year has returned over 14%, its best rolling 1-year return in over seven years.
November 29, 2019
November 22, 2019
Since peaking at 3.8% in 2017, economic growth outside of the U.S. has been decelerating, reaching 2.7% in the second quarter of 2019. Manufacturing has led the way down, especially in big export powerhouses in Europe and Asia.
November 15, 2019
2019 has delivered generous returns for equity investors with the S&P 500 returning 23% year-to-date.
November 8, 2019
After nine rate hikes between December 2015 and December 2018, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has conducted a dramatic U-turn in 2019, cutting rates three times in three consecutive meetings.
November 1, 2019
After lagging behind U.S. equities for most of the year, emerging market (EM) equities outperformed in October, up 4.2% during the month versus 2.2% for the U.S. and 2.6% for developed markets overall. What has led to this reversal – and is it sustainable?
October 25, 2019
Investing 101 teaches us that when buying a share of stock, investors are paying for a share of future profits. What the textbooks do not tell us, however, is which measure of profits to look at.
October 18, 2019
Following ongoing turbulence in the repo market, the Federal Reserve announced last week that it would begin expanding its balance sheet once more through permanent open market operations.
October 11, 2019
The economic backdrop in 2019 has been characterized by weakness in manufacturing being offset by the resilience of services and the health of the consumer.
October 4, 2019
For a market that is anticipating two more cuts through the end of next year, expectations may need to be tempered.
September 27, 2019
Investors may want to consider reducing exposure to European financial markets during this period of heightened political, economic and policy uncertainty.
September 18, 2019
The interest rate charged for repurchase agreements, or “repos”, spiked briefly on Monday, surging to as high as 8.5% by some measures.
September 13, 2019
While September seems to have brought calmer markets at the headline level, beneath the surface this has not been the case. The past few weeks have seen momentum and growth trades come under pressure, with value outperforming growth by 4.1% since August 27th.
September 6, 2019
Earlier this week, political upheaval once again shook the United Kingdom. In a surprising turn of events, newly-appointed Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s government lost its majority after a former Conservative minister joined the Liberal Democrats.
August 30, 2019
Equity and fixed income markets have been on a wild ride in recent weeks, as recession fears, geopolitical uncertainty, and continued weakness in manufacturing have weighed on investor sentiment.
August 23, 2019
When the Fed cut rates in July 2019 for the first time since 2008, it went to great lengths to emphasize that it was an “insurance cut” – necessary to length the expansion but not the start of a prolonged easing cycle. The challenge for the Fed is that the economic data does not seem to be fitting its narrative.